Tuesday, 7 May 2013




While trying to come to grips with these two news items and raising a query, I received this comment in return:

against the likes of Eric Ferguson you can simply reply by stating that the greenhouse gas “theory” - the cornerstone of all climate alarm – is refuted on many levels. For example, it is refuted by 400,000 years of Vostok Ice core data that show levels of CO2 follow changes in temperature; as such CO2 is a symptom, not a driver of climate. Also, CO2 is proven to be a coolant gas because it is one of nature's best EMITTERS of energy. As such it cannot “trap” heat. The only known trapper of heat in our atmosphere is water vapour that temporary holds energy in the form of latent heat.  To create climate alarm doomsaying junk climatologists wrongly assign to CO2 the latent heat storage properties of water vapour because governments can tax us for exhaling CO2 but they can't control our planet's water cycle.

The most absurd logical fallacy in Eric's argument is his invoking of the arbitrary and subjective pseudo-intellectual device known as the “precautionary principle.” He says we must apply an “insurance” against global warming. But history tells us climate always changes and cold is a greater enemy to life than warmth. Life flourishes in warmer climates but struggles in colder (compare the barren Arctic to the rich Amazon rainforest).

If we wanted to “insure” against climate change we should be preparing for the coming ice age. As Dr. Pierre R Latour tells us:  [Dr. Pierre R. Latour is noted for his engineering prowess in helping design and develop the docking system for NASA’s Apollo space mission; he turns film critic to lambast the latest film sold in the name of junk science. See the quoted link below].

  •  If you discover glacial cycles have a period of about 100,000 years with an interglacial period of about 15,000, your discovery has been made already.
  •    If you realize Chicago is covered by an ice sheet >1 mile thick 85% of the time, you get it.
  •   If you realize humanity prospers during interglacials, not glacials, you get it. 
  •   If you discover Earth’s temperature has stabilized at a local high since 1998, you can expect it to  begin cooling soon. Maybe -15C. Because a new glacial has begun.  
  •   If you accept Lucy walked around Kenya 3 million years ago, you can conclude your ancestors survived 3,000,000/100,000 = 30 glacials.  Her ancestors appeared about 7 million years ago so they survived 4,000,000/100,000 = 40 more glacials. 30 + 40 = 70. 
  •  If you have enough faith in current humanity to believe we will survive at least one more = 100,000 years (year 102,013) you are a climate realist. 
  •  Remedy? Invest in property near the Equator. This is not good or bad news, it’s just news. 
  •  Don’t be provocative. Have a fabulous day. Breathe your COeasy.

John O'Sullivan
Principia Scientific International

Two further recent news items offered for consideration:

1 comment:

  1. Some considerations that might help mankind to ‘make it’ to the next interglacial:

    “For only a short time, in most countries, has the individual human had the right of trial by jury. To make humanity’s chances for a fair trial better, all those testifying must swear ‘to tell the truth, all the truth and nothing but the truth.’….. If we don’t program the computer truthfully with all the truth and nothing but the truth, we won’t get the answers that allow us to ‘make it’ “.
    Buckminster Fuller CRITICAL PATH, Hutchinson, 1981

    “Truth is a purely human construct but facts are eternal.”
    Alexius Meinong

    The Universe “…speaketh an universal language, independently of human speech or human language, multiplied and various as they may be. It is an ever-existing original, which every man can read. It cannot be forged; it cannot be counterfeited; it cannot be lost; it cannot be altered; it cannot be suppressed. It does not depend upon the will of man whether it shall be published or not; it publishes itself from one end of the earth to the other.”
    Thomas Payne THE AGE OF REASON

    “In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act”.
    George Orwell

    “Whenever a theory appears to you as the only possible one, take this as a sign that you have neither understood the theory nor the problem which it was intended to solve.”
    Karl Popper

    … who deserves special mention by referring if only to these five tokens from his legacy, from The Logic of Scientific Discovery [1934], to The Open Society and its Enemies [1945], to Conjectures and Refutations [1963], to The Lessons of this Century [1997] and All Life is Problem Solving [1994,1999]